Page 1 of 2

Tasmanian Weather and Floods

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 8:14 am
by Liamy77
Just thought it might be useful to find out if anyone has some GOOD links to tassie weather forecasts and snowfall altitudes etc. I find the BOM site to be a bit crummy and not always very well laid out for walking specific info.... fine if you want average temps and sun light or rainfall info but not so good for snowfall and warnings..... Where do you folk look?

also feel free to make small talk 'bout the weather :)

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 8:17 am
by ILUVSWTAS
http://www.snow-forecast.com/maps/dynamic/tasmania

snow forecast isnt always accurate, but i've found it very accurate in showing where the rain is going to be.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 9:13 am
by Liamy77

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 10:05 am
by bushwalker zane
Liamy77 wrote:also feel free to make small talk 'bout the weather :)

The weather is darn rainy! My backyard was a pond this morning. :lol:

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:09 am
by ILUVSWTAS
bushwalker zane wrote:
Liamy77 wrote:also feel free to make small talk 'bout the weather :)

The weather is darn rainy! My backyard was a pond this morning. :lol:



the huon council is currently sitting debating changing the name of the huon river to the huon ocean. :shock:

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:28 am
by doogs
Just aquaplaned my way to Lonnie airport and back, scary *&%$#!! Oh and the weatherzone websdite can be handy as you can get the days forecast broken down into 3 hour segments.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:35 am
by sthughes
Calm with blue, sunny skys in Burnie. Just looking at some people walking along the beach in front of my office! What are you all talking about?

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:42 am
by doogs
Looked nice looking NW from Perth. I could see the bottom half of Drys Bluff with snow down to about 400m.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:45 am
by ILUVSWTAS
sthughes wrote:Calm with blue, sunny skys in Burnie. Just looking at some people walking along the beach in front of my office! What are you all talking about?



Gotta happen up there on rare occasions I guess.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:47 am
by frenchy_84
sthughes wrote:Calm with blue, sunny skys in Burnie. Just looking at some people walking along the beach in front of my office! What are you all talking about?


It could be 25 degrees in Burnie, i still know where i would rather be

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:52 am
by sthughes
Lol, yeah well I don't live here, I just want to make that abundantly clear! :D

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:55 am
by ILUVSWTAS
sthughes wrote:Lol, yeah well I don't live here, I just want to make that abundantly clear! :D



'Hahaha I was up there recently, went into Banjos, they have to keep the toilets locked cause there was so much drug use going on.... must be an exciting place to live!!

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 12:02 pm
by doogs
ILUVSWTAS wrote:
sthughes wrote:Lol, yeah well I don't live here, I just want to make that abundantly clear! :D



'Hahaha I was up there recently, went into Banjos, they have to keep the toilets locked cause there was so much drug use going on.... must be an exciting place to live!!

Puts a whole new spin on the phrase "do you want ice in your drink"!

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 12:57 pm
by ILUVSWTAS
doogs wrote:Puts a whole new spin on the phrase "do you want ice in your drink"!



HAHAHA! I love it.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 1:46 pm
by Azza
I just look at the BOM synoptic charts.
You can tell a lot about the wind and likelihood of bad weather.

In the winter I look at snow-forecast.com just because I'm a snow junkie.
http://ski.com.au/weather/cola/index.html

In snow forecasting you have the 540 millibar line on the MSLP chart which is useful indication for when its going to snow to low levels.

Most of the 3rd party forecast sites that don't use BOM data are based on COLA and GASP models - which I'm pretty sure are calculated out of a super-computer in the US, so they tend to be less reliable as the model aren't tailored for our region.

One thing you can be sure of is that if all the different model's agree then you can be pretty confident that is what is going to happen.

If you compare the different models and their long term forecasts then you'll often see quite a huge difference.. hence why its never worth paying much attention to long range forecasts in Tassie.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 3:04 pm
by bushwalker zane
ILUVSWTAS wrote:
the huon council is currently sitting debating changing the name of the huon river to the huon ocean. :shock:



:lol:

Gosh I love Tassie.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 3:54 pm
by johnw
I really like willyweather and have used it up here for a while now. It gives a comprehensive forecast about 5 or 6 days out. Just enter the name or postcode and the closest forecast is given. Includes rain/snow/wind predictions.
Not perfect but probably the best I've seen to date.

Some Tassie locations relevant to bushwalking:

http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/north-western/cradle-mountain.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/north-western/lake-st-clair.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/north-western/lake-margaret.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/southern/tarraleah.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/hobart/wellington-park.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/southern/strathgordon.html

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 4:08 pm
by stepbystep
Ben Lomond Road closed due to snow/tree branches.
Pic courtesy PWS facebook post

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 4:14 pm
by Liamy77
just got back from Wello.... gate shut at the springs.... road is clear past the chalet? but its a bit thicker on top (i think they were over-reacting a bit closing it) but then I got there about lunchlime so it mighta been nastier before the tractor cleared trough there.) Some slushy snow around and the kids enjoyed slammin a few snowballs into Dad! (me) And they made it up the zigzag track although i had to carry my little one up (but she walked down the road way from the summit herself) yeah proud dad :roll:

they told me the gates ought to be opened tomorrow - just had rain today while we were up there but there was a *&%$#! good wind blowing.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 4:40 pm
by bushwalker zane
Wow! :shock:

Ah, I hope there will be a good ski season this year! By the looks of this photo, seems promising! :D

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 5:54 pm
by ILUVSWTAS
Huon bridge has been closed.

Anyone who knows Huonville knows we're talking serious floods..........

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:05 pm
by Liamy77
Strahan isn't too happy again either i think....
but yeah the river is up to the banks here...

in regards to what ILUVSWTAS said about the bridge closing:
http://www.huonvalley.tas.gov.au/site/page.cfm?u=348
http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDT60252/IDT6 ... .plt.shtml
some horses in the paddock near the glen huon road turnoff at huonville looked VERY soggy - footrot zone! hope the "wonderful-person" who owns em moves them soon!

maybe i don't think they are a wonderful-person but this is a "g" rated forum.... :x

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:07 pm
by ILUVSWTAS
It's well over the banks just up the road from your place, the golf club and all the surrounding paddocks are submerged.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:14 pm
by doogs
A few flood warnings around the NE too.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:15 pm
by Liamy77
hang on i'm grabbin the torch and will be back in 10 mins (iluv - if im not back, i fell in at the fishin spot :wink: )


10 mins or so later....

Ok so i just walked out my backdoor and the water is about 15-20meters over the bank into our bottom paddock on Wilmot Road, Huonville.... :shock:

but it has a fair way to go to our house atm (can't see it happening as it is ebbing now at judbury (2 hours waterflow upstream)

still.... some very happy ducks around! :|

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:19 pm
by north-north-west
ILUVSWTAS wrote:Huon bridge has been closed.

Anyone who knows Huonville knows we're talking serious floods..........


:shock: SHEEEEE-IT, that does not sound good.

Re: Tasmanian Weather

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:51 pm
by Liamy77
anyone got a packraft to lend me? :lol:

at least ILUVSWTAS is up the hill!

Re: Tasmanian Weather and Floods

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 7:52 pm
by north-north-west
You might want to borrow his wetsuit and snorkel.

Re: Tasmanian Weather and Floods

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 8:52 pm
by Phil
Was watching ABC news and they were showing plenty of snow falling (and settling) at Myrtle Park - only 30km from Launceston at 385m altitude :shock:

Can't wait to wake up to clearer skies in the morning and get a look at the mountains!! ........might have to go for a little drive!!

Re: Tasmanian Weather and Floods

PostPosted: Wed 08 Jun, 2011 9:06 pm
by stepbystep
Phil wrote:Was watching ABC news and they were showing plenty of snow falling (and settling) at Myrtle Park - only 30km from Launceston at 385m altitude :shock:


I cut that story :D The vision was beautiful, pity we couldn't use it all......