Tasmanian Weather and Floods

Tasmania specific bushwalking discussion.
Forum rules
Tasmania specific bushwalking discussion. Please avoid publishing details of access to sensitive areas with no tracks.

Tasmanian Weather and Floods

Postby Liamy77 » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 8:14 am

Just thought it might be useful to find out if anyone has some GOOD links to tassie weather forecasts and snowfall altitudes etc. I find the BOM site to be a bit crummy and not always very well laid out for walking specific info.... fine if you want average temps and sun light or rainfall info but not so good for snowfall and warnings..... Where do you folk look?

also feel free to make small talk 'bout the weather :)
Taggunnah
GRAVITY... IS A HARSH MISTRESS!
knowledge's lighter than gadgets..but gadgets can be fun!
User avatar
Liamy77
Auctorita modica
Auctorita modica
 
Posts: 1552
Joined: Tue 20 Apr, 2010 4:36 pm
Location: Southern Channel, Tas.... but sometimes i leave n walk around elsewhere!
ASSOCIATED ORGANISATIONS: Woodbridge Organics
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby ILUVSWTAS » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 8:17 am

http://www.snow-forecast.com/maps/dynamic/tasmania

snow forecast isnt always accurate, but i've found it very accurate in showing where the rain is going to be.
Nothing to see here.
User avatar
ILUVSWTAS
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 11025
Joined: Sun 28 Dec, 2008 9:53 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby Liamy77 » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 9:13 am

Taggunnah
GRAVITY... IS A HARSH MISTRESS!
knowledge's lighter than gadgets..but gadgets can be fun!
User avatar
Liamy77
Auctorita modica
Auctorita modica
 
Posts: 1552
Joined: Tue 20 Apr, 2010 4:36 pm
Location: Southern Channel, Tas.... but sometimes i leave n walk around elsewhere!
ASSOCIATED ORGANISATIONS: Woodbridge Organics
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby bushwalker zane » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 10:05 am

Liamy77 wrote:also feel free to make small talk 'bout the weather :)

The weather is darn rainy! My backyard was a pond this morning. :lol:
User avatar
bushwalker zane
Athrotaxis selaginoides
Athrotaxis selaginoides
 
Posts: 1206
Joined: Mon 09 May, 2011 9:46 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby ILUVSWTAS » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:09 am

bushwalker zane wrote:
Liamy77 wrote:also feel free to make small talk 'bout the weather :)

The weather is darn rainy! My backyard was a pond this morning. :lol:



the huon council is currently sitting debating changing the name of the huon river to the huon ocean. :shock:
Nothing to see here.
User avatar
ILUVSWTAS
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 11025
Joined: Sun 28 Dec, 2008 9:53 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby doogs » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:28 am

Just aquaplaned my way to Lonnie airport and back, scary *&%$#!! Oh and the weatherzone websdite can be handy as you can get the days forecast broken down into 3 hour segments.
Do you want to build a snowman?
User avatar
doogs
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 3649
Joined: Mon 11 Oct, 2010 4:32 pm
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby sthughes » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:35 am

Calm with blue, sunny skys in Burnie. Just looking at some people walking along the beach in front of my office! What are you all talking about?
"Don't do today what you can put off 'till tomorrow." (Work that is!)
User avatar
sthughes
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 2414
Joined: Wed 05 Mar, 2008 12:53 pm
Location: Ulverstone
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby doogs » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:42 am

Looked nice looking NW from Perth. I could see the bottom half of Drys Bluff with snow down to about 400m.
Do you want to build a snowman?
User avatar
doogs
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 3649
Joined: Mon 11 Oct, 2010 4:32 pm
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby ILUVSWTAS » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:45 am

sthughes wrote:Calm with blue, sunny skys in Burnie. Just looking at some people walking along the beach in front of my office! What are you all talking about?



Gotta happen up there on rare occasions I guess.
Nothing to see here.
User avatar
ILUVSWTAS
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 11025
Joined: Sun 28 Dec, 2008 9:53 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby frenchy_84 » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:47 am

sthughes wrote:Calm with blue, sunny skys in Burnie. Just looking at some people walking along the beach in front of my office! What are you all talking about?


It could be 25 degrees in Burnie, i still know where i would rather be
User avatar
frenchy_84
Athrotaxis selaginoides
Athrotaxis selaginoides
 
Posts: 1510
Joined: Tue 04 Nov, 2008 7:00 pm
Region: Queensland
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby sthughes » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:52 am

Lol, yeah well I don't live here, I just want to make that abundantly clear! :D
"Don't do today what you can put off 'till tomorrow." (Work that is!)
User avatar
sthughes
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 2414
Joined: Wed 05 Mar, 2008 12:53 pm
Location: Ulverstone
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby ILUVSWTAS » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 11:55 am

sthughes wrote:Lol, yeah well I don't live here, I just want to make that abundantly clear! :D



'Hahaha I was up there recently, went into Banjos, they have to keep the toilets locked cause there was so much drug use going on.... must be an exciting place to live!!
Nothing to see here.
User avatar
ILUVSWTAS
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 11025
Joined: Sun 28 Dec, 2008 9:53 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby doogs » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 12:02 pm

ILUVSWTAS wrote:
sthughes wrote:Lol, yeah well I don't live here, I just want to make that abundantly clear! :D



'Hahaha I was up there recently, went into Banjos, they have to keep the toilets locked cause there was so much drug use going on.... must be an exciting place to live!!

Puts a whole new spin on the phrase "do you want ice in your drink"!
Do you want to build a snowman?
User avatar
doogs
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 3649
Joined: Mon 11 Oct, 2010 4:32 pm
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby ILUVSWTAS » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 12:57 pm

doogs wrote:Puts a whole new spin on the phrase "do you want ice in your drink"!



HAHAHA! I love it.
Nothing to see here.
User avatar
ILUVSWTAS
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 11025
Joined: Sun 28 Dec, 2008 9:53 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby Azza » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 1:46 pm

I just look at the BOM synoptic charts.
You can tell a lot about the wind and likelihood of bad weather.

In the winter I look at snow-forecast.com just because I'm a snow junkie.
http://ski.com.au/weather/cola/index.html

In snow forecasting you have the 540 millibar line on the MSLP chart which is useful indication for when its going to snow to low levels.

Most of the 3rd party forecast sites that don't use BOM data are based on COLA and GASP models - which I'm pretty sure are calculated out of a super-computer in the US, so they tend to be less reliable as the model aren't tailored for our region.

One thing you can be sure of is that if all the different model's agree then you can be pretty confident that is what is going to happen.

If you compare the different models and their long term forecasts then you'll often see quite a huge difference.. hence why its never worth paying much attention to long range forecasts in Tassie.
User avatar
Azza
Phyllocladus aspleniifolius
Phyllocladus aspleniifolius
 
Posts: 979
Joined: Thu 06 Mar, 2008 11:26 am

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby bushwalker zane » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 3:04 pm

ILUVSWTAS wrote:
the huon council is currently sitting debating changing the name of the huon river to the huon ocean. :shock:



:lol:

Gosh I love Tassie.
User avatar
bushwalker zane
Athrotaxis selaginoides
Athrotaxis selaginoides
 
Posts: 1206
Joined: Mon 09 May, 2011 9:46 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby johnw » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 3:54 pm

I really like willyweather and have used it up here for a while now. It gives a comprehensive forecast about 5 or 6 days out. Just enter the name or postcode and the closest forecast is given. Includes rain/snow/wind predictions.
Not perfect but probably the best I've seen to date.

Some Tassie locations relevant to bushwalking:

http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/north-western/cradle-mountain.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/north-western/lake-st-clair.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/north-western/lake-margaret.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/southern/tarraleah.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/hobart/wellington-park.html
http://www.willyweather.com.au/tas/southern/strathgordon.html
John W

In Nature's keeping they are safe, but through the agency of man destruction is making rapid progress - John Muir c1912
User avatar
johnw
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 9603
Joined: Wed 23 Jan, 2008 11:59 am
Location: Macarthur Region - SW Sydney
Region: New South Wales
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby stepbystep » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 4:08 pm

Ben Lomond Road closed due to snow/tree branches.
Pic courtesy PWS facebook post
Attachments
251747_10150224383844297_147512044296_6881137_5916186_n.jpg
251747_10150224383844297_147512044296_6881137_5916186_n.jpg (63.52 KiB) Viewed 10836 times
The idea of wilderness needs no defense, it only needs defenders ~ Edward Abbey
User avatar
stepbystep
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 7625
Joined: Tue 19 May, 2009 10:19 am
Location: Street urchin
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby Liamy77 » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 4:14 pm

just got back from Wello.... gate shut at the springs.... road is clear past the chalet? but its a bit thicker on top (i think they were over-reacting a bit closing it) but then I got there about lunchlime so it mighta been nastier before the tractor cleared trough there.) Some slushy snow around and the kids enjoyed slammin a few snowballs into Dad! (me) And they made it up the zigzag track although i had to carry my little one up (but she walked down the road way from the summit herself) yeah proud dad :roll:

they told me the gates ought to be opened tomorrow - just had rain today while we were up there but there was a *&%$#! good wind blowing.
Taggunnah
GRAVITY... IS A HARSH MISTRESS!
knowledge's lighter than gadgets..but gadgets can be fun!
User avatar
Liamy77
Auctorita modica
Auctorita modica
 
Posts: 1552
Joined: Tue 20 Apr, 2010 4:36 pm
Location: Southern Channel, Tas.... but sometimes i leave n walk around elsewhere!
ASSOCIATED ORGANISATIONS: Woodbridge Organics
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby bushwalker zane » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 4:40 pm

Wow! :shock:

Ah, I hope there will be a good ski season this year! By the looks of this photo, seems promising! :D
User avatar
bushwalker zane
Athrotaxis selaginoides
Athrotaxis selaginoides
 
Posts: 1206
Joined: Mon 09 May, 2011 9:46 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby ILUVSWTAS » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 5:54 pm

Huon bridge has been closed.

Anyone who knows Huonville knows we're talking serious floods..........
Nothing to see here.
User avatar
ILUVSWTAS
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 11025
Joined: Sun 28 Dec, 2008 9:53 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby Liamy77 » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:05 pm

Strahan isn't too happy again either i think....
but yeah the river is up to the banks here...

in regards to what ILUVSWTAS said about the bridge closing:
http://www.huonvalley.tas.gov.au/site/page.cfm?u=348
http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDT60252/IDT6 ... .plt.shtml
some horses in the paddock near the glen huon road turnoff at huonville looked VERY soggy - footrot zone! hope the "wonderful-person" who owns em moves them soon!

maybe i don't think they are a wonderful-person but this is a "g" rated forum.... :x
Taggunnah
GRAVITY... IS A HARSH MISTRESS!
knowledge's lighter than gadgets..but gadgets can be fun!
User avatar
Liamy77
Auctorita modica
Auctorita modica
 
Posts: 1552
Joined: Tue 20 Apr, 2010 4:36 pm
Location: Southern Channel, Tas.... but sometimes i leave n walk around elsewhere!
ASSOCIATED ORGANISATIONS: Woodbridge Organics
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby ILUVSWTAS » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:07 pm

It's well over the banks just up the road from your place, the golf club and all the surrounding paddocks are submerged.
Nothing to see here.
User avatar
ILUVSWTAS
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 11025
Joined: Sun 28 Dec, 2008 9:53 am
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby doogs » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:14 pm

A few flood warnings around the NE too.
Do you want to build a snowman?
User avatar
doogs
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 3649
Joined: Mon 11 Oct, 2010 4:32 pm
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby Liamy77 » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:15 pm

hang on i'm grabbin the torch and will be back in 10 mins (iluv - if im not back, i fell in at the fishin spot :wink: )


10 mins or so later....

Ok so i just walked out my backdoor and the water is about 15-20meters over the bank into our bottom paddock on Wilmot Road, Huonville.... :shock:

but it has a fair way to go to our house atm (can't see it happening as it is ebbing now at judbury (2 hours waterflow upstream)

still.... some very happy ducks around! :|
Taggunnah
GRAVITY... IS A HARSH MISTRESS!
knowledge's lighter than gadgets..but gadgets can be fun!
User avatar
Liamy77
Auctorita modica
Auctorita modica
 
Posts: 1552
Joined: Tue 20 Apr, 2010 4:36 pm
Location: Southern Channel, Tas.... but sometimes i leave n walk around elsewhere!
ASSOCIATED ORGANISATIONS: Woodbridge Organics
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby north-north-west » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:19 pm

ILUVSWTAS wrote:Huon bridge has been closed.

Anyone who knows Huonville knows we're talking serious floods..........


:shock: SHEEEEE-IT, that does not sound good.
"Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens."
User avatar
north-north-west
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 15405
Joined: Thu 14 May, 2009 7:36 pm
Location: The Asylum
ASSOCIATED ORGANISATIONS: Social Misfits Anonymous
Region: Tasmania

Re: Tasmanian Weather

Postby Liamy77 » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 6:51 pm

anyone got a packraft to lend me? :lol:

at least ILUVSWTAS is up the hill!
Taggunnah
GRAVITY... IS A HARSH MISTRESS!
knowledge's lighter than gadgets..but gadgets can be fun!
User avatar
Liamy77
Auctorita modica
Auctorita modica
 
Posts: 1552
Joined: Tue 20 Apr, 2010 4:36 pm
Location: Southern Channel, Tas.... but sometimes i leave n walk around elsewhere!
ASSOCIATED ORGANISATIONS: Woodbridge Organics
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather and Floods

Postby north-north-west » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 7:52 pm

You might want to borrow his wetsuit and snorkel.
"Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens."
User avatar
north-north-west
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 15405
Joined: Thu 14 May, 2009 7:36 pm
Location: The Asylum
ASSOCIATED ORGANISATIONS: Social Misfits Anonymous
Region: Tasmania

Re: Tasmanian Weather and Floods

Postby Phil » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 8:52 pm

Was watching ABC news and they were showing plenty of snow falling (and settling) at Myrtle Park - only 30km from Launceston at 385m altitude :shock:

Can't wait to wake up to clearer skies in the morning and get a look at the mountains!! ........might have to go for a little drive!!
User avatar
Phil
Phyllocladus aspleniifolius
Phyllocladus aspleniifolius
 
Posts: 688
Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2008 2:06 pm
Location: Launceston
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Re: Tasmanian Weather and Floods

Postby stepbystep » Wed 08 Jun, 2011 9:06 pm

Phil wrote:Was watching ABC news and they were showing plenty of snow falling (and settling) at Myrtle Park - only 30km from Launceston at 385m altitude :shock:


I cut that story :D The vision was beautiful, pity we couldn't use it all......
The idea of wilderness needs no defense, it only needs defenders ~ Edward Abbey
User avatar
stepbystep
Lagarostrobos franklinii
Lagarostrobos franklinii
 
Posts: 7625
Joined: Tue 19 May, 2009 10:19 am
Location: Street urchin
Region: Tasmania
Gender: Male

Next

Return to Tasmania

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 29 guests