Not 2.2, not 2.4, but 2.3 degrees C. I own two very different space blankets, The one to which the 2.3 refers is what you might call a heavy duty type, Grabber brand, 150 x 210 mm, and it weighs 333g. I have carried one of these (or similar) around since I was in Scouts, for no good reason other than it might come in handy. The other space blanket is a more recent purchase - it's a SOL Emergency Blanket XL, 150 x 244mm, and it only weighs 88g. How does it compare to the heavier blanket? Here is what I did to check them out.

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I built a heat box out of plywood powered by three 25W incandescent bulbs. The heat output should be about 70 Watts. I read somewhere in the past that the heat output of a sleeping person is around 75 W, so it's close. The lid has been removed for the photo, but it too is plywood. There are holes in the top and sides to allow air to circulate.

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I bought four Inkbird temperature sensors. These interface to my phone. I set them to log at 10 minute intervals. Put them in the same spot and they read within half a degree of each other, accurate enough for me. One of them went through the wash cycle when I left it in my pocket, but I can't remember which. I dried it out, replaced the battery, and it still seemed to work - although it may explain some glitchy data that I got during the tests.

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I set up a tent with sleeping bag and sleeping mat in the backyard. The tent is a Tarptent Motrail, so single skin. The sleeping bag is a Roman Extremelite Zero with synthetic insulation. I only took this hiking once and nearly froze - it's not very good. The mat was a Naturehike folding CCF mat, so nothing fancy.
The heat box went in the sleeping bag with the end of the box sticking out - the intent was to replicate the fact that your head is usually out of the bag when you sleep. I put one sensor on top of a double layer of CCF foam on top of the heat box. This was intended to try and measure the air temperature in the bag rather than the lid of the heat box. Sensor number two sat on top of the sleeping bag (but under the space blanket), sensor number three in the tent and sensor four measuring the ambient outside. All tent doors and openings were shut during the tests.

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The bureau forecast a run of cold weather (well cold for my place) with predicted overnight temperatures of between 4 and 5 degrees. That's about as cold as it gets where I live. I carried out four tests - 2 with the heavy duty space blanket, one with the light duty SOL Emergency blanket, and one with me rather than the heat box inside the sleeping bag. For each test I started without the space blanket, and put it on at around 1:30 am in the morning to see if it made any difference. The actual time varied depending on when I could drag myself out of bed. There was no significant wind during any of the nights that I am aware of or noticed. Here are the results:
Day 1 (Heavy Duty Space Blanket plus heat box - Test A)

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Temperatures inside the sleeping bag increased by 2.32 degrees C when the space blanket was put on. Note also that the tent is on average 3.5 degrees C warmer than ambient.
Day 2 (Heavy Duty Space Blanket plus me)

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Not sure what happened here, but I suspect I kept rolling from one side to the other affecting the results of the sensors on and inside the bag. At 3:30 I required a comfort stop and decided I'd rather sleep in my bed at that point. The tent temperature drops back to ambient as expected once I leave, but then jumps unexpectedly - sensor glitch? I can't draw any conclusions about the space blanket. However the tent averages 4.0 degrees C warmer than ambient (for the period before I leave the tent) which is close to the Day 1 result. Based on that it looks like my heat box is a reasonable approximation of me as far as heat output is concerned.
Day 3 (Heavy Duty Space Blanket plus heat box - Test B)

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I decided to repeat the first day test to see if I could get repeatable results. Temperatures inside the sleeping bag increased by 2.37 degrees C when the space blanket was put on, so pretty close to the Day 1 result. However the tent sensor starts playing up at 2:30 and goes well below ambient - not sure why. If you exclude what looks like bad data then the tent is on average 4.2 degrees C warmer than ambient
Day 4 (Light Duty Space Blanket plus heat box)

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Temperatures inside the sleeping bag increased by 4.3 degrees C when the space blanket was put on. The tent is on average 4.7 degrees C warmer than ambient (ignoring what looks like another data glitch from the tent sensor).
Conclusions:1. Obviously I am really bored in lockdown
2. The heavy duty space blanket was not as effective at retaining heat as the light duty one. Not sure why. I'm guessing but the light duty blanket is much more pliable than the fairly rigid heavy duty one, so it may just be providing a much more effective heat seal when draped over the sleeping bag.
3. As such, it doesn't seem like much point carrying a heavy duty space blanket, unless you want it to provide double duty as a tarp or groundsheet.
4. A single skin tent with one person inside should be roughly 4 degrees warmer than outside, in the absence of wind.
Not convinced by my methodology so any comments are welcome.